Tesla (TSLA) Stock Price, Chart, Fundamentals & AI Forecast
Tesla is a vertically integrated battery electric vehicle automaker and developer of real-world artificial intelligence software, which includes autonomous driving and humanoid robots... Show more
Why Tesla (TSLA) Stock Is Down -13% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- Tesla (TSLA) closed at $342.27 on August 14, 2026, down roughly 13.2% from $394.46 on July 15, 2026.
- The decline was driven primarily by second-quarter 2026 results: revenue beat estimates, but earnings, margins, and free cash flow disappointed.
- On July 23, shares fell about 14.5% in a single session, erasing an estimated $214.5 billion in market value.
- Over the last quarter, TSLA declined approximately 22.8% from $443.30 on May 14, 2026.
- Rising AI and manufacturing investment, lower vehicle pricing, and shrinking regulatory-credit income are key investor concerns.
Tesla (TSLA) Company Overview and Market Position
Tesla, Inc. designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery energy storage systems, and solar products, while also building adjacent businesses in charging, services, and software. Its best-known products include the Model 3, Model Y, Cybertruck, and Semi, alongside Megapack and Powerwall energy storage. Increasingly, investor attention centers on autonomous driving, Full Self-Driving subscriptions, robotaxi deployment, AI infrastructure, and the Optimus humanoid robot program. Tesla is one of the world’s most valuable automakers and is closely followed because it combines large-scale vehicle manufacturing with software, energy, and AI ambitions that extend well beyond the traditional automotive business.
Tesla (TSLA) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
From July 15 through the August 14 close, TSLA fell from $394.46 to $342.27, a decline of about 13.2%. The move was not linear. Shares were trading near $374.01 on July 22 before second-quarter results triggered a sharp repricing; the stock closed at $319.69 on July 23, down roughly 14.5% in one day. Prices stabilized in the following weeks, recovering toward the $340 area by mid-August.
The broader quarterly picture is weaker. Using the May 14 closing level of $443.30 as a reference, TSLA has declined approximately 22.8%. The stock carved a lower path through the quarter: a mid-May peak near $445 gave way to late-June weakness near $375, a rebound toward $425 in early July, and then the steep post-earnings sell-off.
What Drove TSLA Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The dominant catalyst was Tesla’s second-quarter 2026 report, released after the close on July 22. Revenue rose 26% year over year to $28.24 billion and exceeded consensus expectations, while deliveries reached a record 480,126 vehicles. However, adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.33, well below the roughly $0.51 analysts expected. GAAP operating income fell 57% year over year to about $398 million, and the operating margin compressed to roughly 1.4%.
Profitability was pressured by lower average selling prices, a product mix weighted toward more affordable Model 3 and Model Y variants, and a sharp decline in regulatory-credit revenue, which dropped about 67% to $146 million. Automotive gross margin fell to 16.9% from 21.1% in the first quarter. At the same time, capital expenditures climbed 142% year over year to $5.79 billion, and free cash flow turned negative at about -$1.09 billion for the first time in two years. Management signaled full-year capital spending above $25 billion as the company invests in AI compute, robotaxi capacity, and Optimus.
The market reaction was severe: July 23 marked one of Tesla’s largest single-day declines on record. The sell-off coincided with broader investor scrutiny of heavy AI spending, which also pressured names such as Alphabet (GOOGL) during the same earnings cycle. Several analysts trimmed price targets, although the range of views remains wide, with bulls citing autonomy and robotics potential while more cautious firms emphasize margin pressure and valuation. A partial rebound in early August reflected stabilization in selling pressure rather than a change in the underlying fundamental debate.
What Drove TSLA Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
Over the quarter, the narrative shifted from delivery growth toward profitability and cash generation. Tesla’s May decision to discontinue the higher-priced Model S and Model X removed a meaningful source of margin support, while promotional pricing and financing incentives helped lift volumes but reduced average selling prices. In the United States, the expiration of the federal EV tax credit weighed on demand, even as European and other international markets posted strong growth.
Full Self-Driving adoption continued to expand, with roughly 1.48 million paid users reported in the second quarter, and energy storage deployments rose 41% year over year to 13.5 GWh. Those positive developments were offset by a larger concern: Tesla is now in a heavy investment phase, and the market has become less willing to reward long-dated AI and robotics optionality when near-term margins and free cash flow are deteriorating.
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TSLA Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Investors are likely to monitor whether automotive gross margins stabilize after the second-quarter decline and whether average selling prices can recover as the lower-cost product transition matures. Quarterly delivery figures, order backlog commentary, and any change to Full Self-Driving subscription momentum will be closely watched. The next earnings report is expected in late October 2026 based on Tesla’s historical reporting cadence.
Beyond the income statement, free cash flow and the pace of capital spending will be central themes, particularly around AI infrastructure, robotaxi expansion, Optimus production, and the Terafab chip initiative. Energy storage margins, which weakened in the second quarter, are another important swing factor. Macroeconomic conditions, interest rates, EV demand trends, regulatory policy, and competition from established automakers and Chinese manufacturers could all influence sentiment. Investors should watch for concrete evidence that Tesla’s large investments are translating into visible, high-margin revenue rather than relying solely on longer-term narrative.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
TSLA in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on July 23, 2026
TSLA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 39 cases where TSLA's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TSLA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TSLA as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TSLA just turned positive on August 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where TSLA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 64 cases where TSLA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for TSLA entered a downward trend on August 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TSLA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (15.974) is normal, around the industry mean (9.328). P/E Ratio (325.111) is within average values for comparable stocks, (542.739). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.145) is also within normal values, averaging (2.888). TSLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.037). P/S Ratio (11.990) is also within normal values, averaging (9.938).
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General Information
a manufacturer of electric sports cars
Industry MotorVehicles